Syria Threat Over Golan Puts Israel On War Alert

Daily Telegraph, 30/09/2006
By Harry de Quetteville in Jerusalem

Israel has gone on heightened alert over a possible war with Syria amid reports that President Bashar Assad may be considering military strikes to regain the Golan Heights.

For years Israeli military intelligence has down-played Syria's capacity to launch a meaningful attack against Israel, and the threat level has been kept "low".

But Israeli reports have revealed that the threat level had been raised after intelligence assessments that Damascus is "seriously examining" military action.

The raised threat level comes as Israel prepares for Monday's Day of Atonement, known as Yom Kippur, a solemn Jewish holiday when the entire country effectively shuts down as residents fast and seek forgiveness for sins.

It was on Yom Kippur in 1973 that Israel was caught by surprise as Syrian and Egyptian forces launched a joint attack and inflicted heavy losses before being repelled.

"The first two days of that war were huge defeats for Israel," said Prof Uri Bar-Joseph, an expert on the 1973 conflict. "All the intelligence analysts failed."

Israel is determined to make sure that it is not surprised again, flagging up Syrian military preparations and signals from President Assad that his country might be readying for war.

The Syrian leader said this week that he "wanted to make peace with Israel". But he warned that his "hopes for peace could change one day".

"And if this hope disappears, then war may really be the only solution," he added.

That mixed message has proved divisive in Israel, renewing debate about whether to stay tough, or engage with Syria and solve the decades-long dispute over the strategically important Golan Heights, which Israel first captured in the 1967 Six Day War.

Jewish settlers now populate the territory, which is crucial to Israel as a buffer zone with Syria and as a vantage point over its hostile neighbour, as well as providing Israel with a large proportion of its water supply.



Senior Israeli politicians and commentators are split about whether the time is right to start negotiations which would lead to a peace deal between the countries.

Few doubt that such talks would end with Israel returning the occupied land.

In return, however, Israeli advocates of the handover say the deal would split Syria from Iran, and would constrain Hizbollah and Palestinian militant groups which have headquarters in Damascus.

The Speaker of the Israeli parliament, Dalia Itzik, is one of those pleading for talks to begin.

"Syria is sending signals all the time and I am not sure that we have the luxury of wasting opportunities like those," she said. "Imagine a new alliance with Syria. It is possible. Should we miss it?"

But the prime minister, Ehud Olmert, has dismissed such calls. Mr Olmert, who is politically vulnerable after his much-criticised handling of this summer's war in Lebanon, is in no mood to make territorial concessions.

He fuelled tension this week by insisting that "the Golan Heights will remain in our hands forever".

"Ehud Olmert is not strong enough to make a deal right now," said Shlomo Brom, a former strategy chief for the Israeli army. He said Israel would have to give up the Golan Heights to satisfy Syria, "but Mr Olmert is overloaded with Palestinian problems".

Mr Olmert has threatened to dismiss any cabinet minister who suggests negotiations with Syria.
"Assad wants to use threats as leverage to build on Israel's failures in Lebanon," said Mr Brom.

"But any sane observer understands that Syrian military forces cannot match Israel, mostly due to our air superiority."

•The United Nations confirmed yesterday that four peacekeepers killed in Lebanon in July were hit by a half-ton Israeli precision guided missile.

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Israel started to pull out of the Lebanon today, hours before the Jewish holy day of Yom Kippur. Following today's withdrawal, Israeli spokeswoman Miri Eisin said Israel was "now waiting for Lebanon to do its part under the truce."

But Israel will continue surveillance flights, which both Lebanon and the U.N. consider a violation of the border. Alexander Ivanko, a spokesman for the U.N. force known as UNIFIL, said the world body had repeatedly demanded that Israel stop the flights.

The disputed Chebaa Farms area near the borders of Israel, Lebanon and Syria, is also still held by Israeli forces. The U.N. resolution that outlined the truce had directed the U.N. secretary-general to come up with a proposal to delineate the borders in the area within a now-elapsed 30 days.

Israel will continue to have problems until they return all land that they currently illegally occupy (this includes the Golan Heights). UN Resolution 242 called for withdrawl, but like many UN resolutions has been ignored. See article http://speakerofthetruth.blogspot.com/2006/07/some-of-our-brothers-are-more-equal.html

They also need to release captured Lebanese civilians (from illegal occupation of Lebanon during 1982-2000) and let Palestinians return to Israel (when they were forced out of Palestine during the creation of Israel) .

The only way to resolve this issue would be to get the two communities (Jewish and Palestinians) to integrate and live together not create a Zionist state or create a second class citizens. Isreal seriously needs to return all illegally occupied lands from their neighbouring countries and start dialog for friendship. Why does the Israeli Government create its own problems? - isn't peace and friendship worth pursuing?